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HOME > BOOKS > The Next Arms Race      

The Next Arms Race
Published on: Jul 2012
Notes:

 With New START now being implemented with Russia, it has become fashionable to push for even far deeper cuts, perhaps as low as several warheads on each side. Such low numbers, though, approach what other nuclear weapons states, such as France, China, Israel, India, and Pakistan, either have or plan to get. 

How compatible are deeper U.S.-Russian reductions with the nuclear activities and plans of other states? How does Russia view the nuclear and conventional military modernization activities of China? How might the continuing military competition between Pakistan and India play out? What are the strategic nuclear dynamics between the DPRK, South Korea, Japan, and China with both their current and planned military and civilian nuclear activities? Are military nuclear competitions in the Middle East using civilian nuclear programs as covers inevitable? What beyond our current arms control and nonproliferation efforts might help address these threats?

The Next Arms Race, which is the result of a three-year project, showcases 15 research papers that tackle these questions directly. It is published online by the U.S. Army War College Strategic Studies Institute, where it is possible to order hard copies of the book. 

Published by:

 The Strategic Studies Institute Publications Office, United States Army War College

Edited by NPEC executive director Henry Sokolski - 2012

 Download the complete edition (printer-friendly)

Table of Contents

Foreword

1. Overview 
Henry D. Sokolski

PART I: ASIA

2. Asian Drivers of Russia's Nuclear Force Posture
Jacob W. Kipp

3. China's Strategic Forces in the 21st Century: The People's Liberation Army's Changing Nuclear Doctrine and Force Posture
Michael Mazza & Dan Blumenthal

4. Plutonium, Proliferation and Radioactive-waste Politics in East Asia
Frank von Hippel

5. China and the Emerging Strategic Competition in Aerospace Power
Mark Stokes & Ian Easton

PART II: MIDDLE EAST

6. The Middle East's Nuclear Future
Richard L. Russell

7. Alternative Proliferation Futures for North Africa
Bruno Tertrais

8. Casting a Blind Eye: Kissinger and Nixon Finesse Israel's Bomb
Victor Gilinsky

PART III: SOUTH ASIA

9. Nuclear Weapons Stability or Anarchy in the 21st Century: China, India, and Pakistan
Thomas W. Graham

10. Nuclear Missile-Related Risks in South Asia
R.N. Ganesh

11. Prospects for Indian and Pakistani Arms Control
Feroz Hassan Khan

PART IV: POST-COLD WAR MILITARY SCIENCE AND ARMS CONTROL

12. To What Extent Can Precision Conventional Technologies Substitute for Nuclear Weapons?
Stephen J. Lukasik

13. Missiles for Peace
Henry D. Sokolski

14. Missile Defense and Arms Control
Jeff Kueter

15. A Hardheaded Guide to Nuclear Controls
Henry D. Sokolski

About the Contributors

The Nonproliferation Policy Education Center (NPEC), is a 501 (c)3 nonpartisan, nonprofit, educational organization
founded in 1994 to promote a better understanding of strategic weapons proliferation issues. NPEC educates policymakers, journalists,
and university professors about proliferation threats and possible new policies and measures to meet them.
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