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More of NPEC’s Work
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May 05, 2014 Greg Jones: Washington's "Comprehensive Solution" to Iran's Nuclear Program: Destined to be Neither
Negotiations on Iran’s nuclear program are continuing in an effort to produce a follow-on agreement, termed the “Comprehensive Solution,” to the November 2013 “Joint Plan of Action” (JPA).  Much of the discussion of the Comprehensive Solution has focused on the terms such an agreement should include to prevent Iran from being able to produce nuclear weapons.  However, this objective will not be attainable unless the agreement addresses key aspects of Iran’s nuclear program, fixes the flaws in the JPA which seriously constrain any agreement and recognizes fundamental problems with International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) safeguards as currently implemented.
Working Papers & Monographs
Sep 10, 2012 Greg Jones: Is the West Playing a Game With Iran That It Has Already Lost?
As Iran's nuclear program progresses, policy and opinion makers have crowded the airwaves pleading either to negotiate a "solution" or, more recently, to bomb or sanction Iran's nuclear activities away. The presumption is that the "window of vulnerability" for Iran's nuclear-weapons related activities has not quite closed, and that there's still time before Tehran "gets" the bomb. This, however, may be wishful thinking. In his most recent analysis of Iran's nuclear activities, "Is the West Playing a Game With Iran That It Has Already Lost?", NPEC's Senior Researcher, Greg Jones, makes a convincing case that negotiating a deal with Iran or launching a military strike to prevent it from acquiring a quickly reconstitutable bomb option is no longer possible. As for sanctions, they are unlikely to block Iran's further nuclear progress. This, Jones argues, may explain why, after a year of Israeli agitation for a military strike and extensive international efforts to cut a diplomatic deal with Iran, nothing has happened. Jones' key recommendation, and one that has received far too little attention, is that the U.S. and other key nuclear supplier states focus on preventing future Irans. Specifically, Jones recommends that the strictures against making nuclear fuel contained in the United States-United Arab Emirates (UAE) civil nuclear cooperative agreement of 2009 be applied to all civilian nuclear cooperation with states that lack nuclear weapons. As Jones explains, if no action is taken to tighten existing nuclear controls, Iran and other states are likely to push ahead with "declared" nuclear fuel making activities producing a world full of Irans.
Working Papers & Monographs
Jun 07, 2012 Greg Jones: Iran's Rapid Enrichment Progress
In Greg Jones' latest evaluation of the IAEA's May 25th Iran safeguards report, he notes that in the last six months, Iran increased its production of 3.5% enriched uranium by roughly 60%. In addition, Iran installed 1,000 new centrifuges at its fortified Fordow facility. As a result, Greg now calculates that Iran could produce a bomb, if it chose, in as little as five to fourteen weeks.  
Working Papers & Monographs
Mar 26, 2012 Greg Jones: Facing the Reality of Iran as a De Facto Nuclear State
NPEC Senior Researcher Greg Jones argues that Iran can produce a nuclear weapon in such a short amount of time that it should already be considered a de facto nuclear state. He also claims that neither sanctions, diplomacy, a military strike, nor any combination of these can prevent Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons. 
Working Papers & Monographs
Jan 26, 2011 Greg Jones Analysis Shows Cyber Attacks Have Not Slowed Iran's Proliferation Efforts
Working Papers & Monographs
Jan 18, 2011 NPEC Releases Analysis by Greg Jones Detailing Israeli Statements On When Iran Will Develop a Bomb
Working Papers & Monographs
Mar 02, 2015 Greg Jones Questions Iranian Compliance with the Current Interim Nuclear Deal
On March 2, 2015, National Review Online posted NPEC senior researcher Greg Jones' article "In Iran, Distrust and Verify."
Op-Eds & Blogs
Sep 28, 2014 Greg Jones: Ensuring the Iran Negotiations Do Not Promote the Spread of Nuclear Weapons
NPEC Senior Researcher Greg Jones argues the P5+1 should toughen its stance and demand that Iran give up all centrifuge enrichment, dismantle the Arak reactor, give up its heavy water stocks, and dismantle its heavy water production facility.  He argues that allowing Iran to retain its nuclear capabilities can inflict enduring damage on broader U.S. nonproliferation efforts by legitimizing centrifuge enrichment or heavy water plutonium production reactors for other countries as well, making it easy for them to produce nuclear material for weapons whenever they desire them.
Working Papers & Monographs
Nov 25, 2013 Judy Woodruff Interviews NPEC's Senior Researcher, Greg Jones
NPEC's Senior Researcher, Greg Jones, appeared on the PBS NewsHour on November 25 to discuss the interim agreement on Iran's nuclear program.
Sep 10, 2013 Greg Jones: Tehran Could Get Its First Bomb Now in Just Six Short Weeks
In various papers since 2008, this author has outlined how Iran’s growing centrifuge enrichment program could provide it with the ability to produce Highly Enriched Uranium (HEU) and thereby the ability to manufacture nuclear weapons. On August 28, 2013, the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) published its latest safeguards update which shows that Iran is continuing to expand its enrichment program.     
Working Papers & Monographs
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NPEC Books
     Nuclear Heuristics: Selected Writings of Albert and Roberta Wohlstetter
Jan 2009
     Pakistan's Nuclear Future: Worries Beyond War
Jan 2008
     Nuclear Power's Global Expansion: Weighing Its Costs and Risks
Dec 2010
     Moving Beyond Pretense: Nuclear Power and Nonproliferation
Jun 2014
     Reactor-Grade Plutonium and Nuclear Weapons: Exploding the Myths by Gregory S. Jones
Apr 2018
Briefs of Import
from Outside NPEC
IEEE Spectrum, Lawrence Ulrich
Aug 19, 2019
New Electric Motor Could Boost Efficiency of EVs, Scooters, and Wind Turbines

The Japan News, The Yomiuri Shimbun (4)
Aug 19, 2019
Satellite interceptor sought by mid-2020s

News 18
Aug 16, 2019
India’s 'No First Use' Policy on Nuclear Weapons May Change Based on Circumstances, Says Rajnath Singh

The Wall Street Journal, Thomas Gryta and Mark Maremont
Aug 15, 2019
GE Is New Target of Madoff Whistleblower

C4ISRnet, Nathan Strout (2)
Aug 15, 2019
New supercomputer will help prevent nuclear weapon testing

NHK World News (4)
Aug 14, 2019
US blacklists Chinese nuclear power company

Financial Times, Leslie Hook
Aug 14, 2019
SoftBank to invest $110m in brick tower energy storage start-up

The National Interest, Andrew Wilks
Aug 13, 2019
Akkuyu: Turkey's nuclear dream overshadowed by safety fears

World Nuclear News (44)
Aug 13, 2019
Rosatom postpones fast reactor project, report says

Popular Mechanics, Kyle Mizokami (6)
Aug 13, 2019
Why the U.S. Abandoned Nuclear-Powered Missiles More Than 50 Years Ago

The National Interest, Michael Peck (2)
Aug 11, 2019
Lasers and Machine Guns: Why Russia Should Fear France’s Killer Satellites

U.S. Department of State, Office of the Historian
Aug 09, 2019
Telegram From the Embassy in Pakistan to the Department of State - Declassified

Vox News, David Roberts (4)
Aug 09, 2019
Getting to 100% renewables requires cheap energy storage. But how cheap?

Pittsburgh Post-Gazette, Anya Litvak (4)
Aug 09, 2019
Bruce Mansfield coal-fired plant to close in November, owner says

Nuclear Engineering International (5)
Aug 08, 2019
China reports nuclear capacity increase

AUB Policy Institute, Ali Ahmad, Reem Salameh, and M.V. Ramana
Aug 08, 2019
Localizing Nuclear Capacity? Saudi Arabic and Small Modular Reactors

Defense News, Jen Judson
Aug 07, 2019
Hypersonics by the dozens: US industry faces manufacturing challenge

Army Recognition
Aug 05, 2019
Taiwan to start production of Yun Feng ballistic missile

The Nonproliferation Policy Education Center (NPEC), is a 501 (c)3 nonpartisan, nonprofit, educational organization
founded in 1994 to promote a better understanding of strategic weapons proliferation issues. NPEC educates policymakers, journalists,
and university professors about proliferation threats and possible new policies and measures to meet them.
1600 Wilson Blvd. | Suite 640 | Arlington, VA 22209 | phone: 571-970-3187 |