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More of NPEC’s Work
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May 05, 2014 Greg Jones: Washington's "Comprehensive Solution" to Iran's Nuclear Program: Destined to be Neither
Negotiations on Iran’s nuclear program are continuing in an effort to produce a follow-on agreement, termed the “Comprehensive Solution,” to the November 2013 “Joint Plan of Action” (JPA).  Much of the discussion of the Comprehensive Solution has focused on the terms such an agreement should include to prevent Iran from being able to produce nuclear weapons.  However, this objective will not be attainable unless the agreement addresses key aspects of Iran’s nuclear program, fixes the flaws in the JPA which seriously constrain any agreement and recognizes fundamental problems with International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) safeguards as currently implemented.
Working Papers & Monographs
Sep 10, 2012 Greg Jones: Is the West Playing a Game With Iran That It Has Already Lost?
As Iran's nuclear program progresses, policy and opinion makers have crowded the airwaves pleading either to negotiate a "solution" or, more recently, to bomb or sanction Iran's nuclear activities away. The presumption is that the "window of vulnerability" for Iran's nuclear-weapons related activities has not quite closed, and that there's still time before Tehran "gets" the bomb. This, however, may be wishful thinking. In his most recent analysis of Iran's nuclear activities, "Is the West Playing a Game With Iran That It Has Already Lost?", NPEC's Senior Researcher, Greg Jones, makes a convincing case that negotiating a deal with Iran or launching a military strike to prevent it from acquiring a quickly reconstitutable bomb option is no longer possible. As for sanctions, they are unlikely to block Iran's further nuclear progress. This, Jones argues, may explain why, after a year of Israeli agitation for a military strike and extensive international efforts to cut a diplomatic deal with Iran, nothing has happened. Jones' key recommendation, and one that has received far too little attention, is that the U.S. and other key nuclear supplier states focus on preventing future Irans. Specifically, Jones recommends that the strictures against making nuclear fuel contained in the United States-United Arab Emirates (UAE) civil nuclear cooperative agreement of 2009 be applied to all civilian nuclear cooperation with states that lack nuclear weapons. As Jones explains, if no action is taken to tighten existing nuclear controls, Iran and other states are likely to push ahead with "declared" nuclear fuel making activities producing a world full of Irans.
Working Papers & Monographs
Jun 07, 2012 Greg Jones: Iran's Rapid Enrichment Progress
In Greg Jones' latest evaluation of the IAEA's May 25th Iran safeguards report, he notes that in the last six months, Iran increased its production of 3.5% enriched uranium by roughly 60%. In addition, Iran installed 1,000 new centrifuges at its fortified Fordow facility. As a result, Greg now calculates that Iran could produce a bomb, if it chose, in as little as five to fourteen weeks.  
Working Papers & Monographs
Mar 26, 2012 Greg Jones: Facing the Reality of Iran as a De Facto Nuclear State
NPEC Senior Researcher Greg Jones argues that Iran can produce a nuclear weapon in such a short amount of time that it should already be considered a de facto nuclear state. He also claims that neither sanctions, diplomacy, a military strike, nor any combination of these can prevent Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons. 
Working Papers & Monographs
Jan 26, 2011 Greg Jones Analysis Shows Cyber Attacks Have Not Slowed Iran's Proliferation Efforts
Working Papers & Monographs
Jan 18, 2011 NPEC Releases Analysis by Greg Jones Detailing Israeli Statements On When Iran Will Develop a Bomb
Working Papers & Monographs
Mar 02, 2015 Greg Jones Questions Iranian Compliance with the Current Interim Nuclear Deal
On March 2, 2015, National Review Online posted NPEC senior researcher Greg Jones' article "In Iran, Distrust and Verify."
Op-Eds & Blogs
Sep 28, 2014 Greg Jones: Ensuring the Iran Negotiations Do Not Promote the Spread of Nuclear Weapons
NPEC Senior Researcher Greg Jones argues the P5+1 should toughen its stance and demand that Iran give up all centrifuge enrichment, dismantle the Arak reactor, give up its heavy water stocks, and dismantle its heavy water production facility.  He argues that allowing Iran to retain its nuclear capabilities can inflict enduring damage on broader U.S. nonproliferation efforts by legitimizing centrifuge enrichment or heavy water plutonium production reactors for other countries as well, making it easy for them to produce nuclear material for weapons whenever they desire them.
Working Papers & Monographs
Nov 25, 2013 Judy Woodruff Interviews NPEC's Senior Researcher, Greg Jones
NPEC's Senior Researcher, Greg Jones, appeared on the PBS NewsHour on November 25 to discuss the interim agreement on Iran's nuclear program.
Sep 10, 2013 Greg Jones: Tehran Could Get Its First Bomb Now in Just Six Short Weeks
In various papers since 2008, this author has outlined how Iran’s growing centrifuge enrichment program could provide it with the ability to produce Highly Enriched Uranium (HEU) and thereby the ability to manufacture nuclear weapons. On August 28, 2013, the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) published its latest safeguards update which shows that Iran is continuing to expand its enrichment program.     
Working Papers & Monographs
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NPEC Books
     Nuclear Heuristics: Selected Writings of Albert and Roberta Wohlstetter
Jan 2009
     Pakistan's Nuclear Future: Worries Beyond War
Jan 2008
     Nuclear Power's Global Expansion: Weighing Its Costs and Risks
Dec 2010
     Moving Beyond Pretense: Nuclear Power and Nonproliferation
Jun 2014
     Reactor-Grade Plutonium and Nuclear Weapons: Exploding the Myths by Gregory S. Jones
Apr 2018
Briefs of Import
from Outside NPEC
Financial Times, Gregory Meyer (4)
Jan 13, 2020
Natural gas producer EQT plans $1.8bn writedown of assets

The Korea Bizwire
Jan 11, 2020
Nuclear Safety Agency Approves Additional Spent Fuel Storage Facility

Yonhap News Agency, Kim Seung-yeon
Jan 09, 2020
(LEAD) S. Korea warns Japan of rolling back decision to suspend GSOMIA's termination

Reuters (63)
Jan 09, 2020
France will not decide on new nuclear reactors before end of 2022

T&D World, David Shadle
Jan 09, 2020
Can Microgrids Help Improve Our Cybersecurity?

The Jerusalem Post, Yonah Jeremy Bob (2)
Jan 07, 2020
How could Iran break out to a nuke in only 2 months? – analysis

TruePublica, Paul Brown
Jan 06, 2020
Hinkley point C: Will the most expensive building project in the world grind to a halt?

Design Products & Applications
Jan 06, 2020
ESA commissions world’s first space debris removal

Jan 05, 2020
Netanyahu, in apparent stumble, calls Israel ‘nuclear power’

The Guardian, Justin McCurry
Jan 05, 2020
Fukushima unveils plans to become renewable energy hub

Industry Global News 24
Jan 03, 2020
Sweden Shuts Down Nuclear Plant's Reactor

Issam Fares Institute for Public Policy and International Affairs, June Park, Pamela Rizkallah, & Ali Ahmad
Jan 03, 2020

The Quad Report (2)
Jan 03, 2020
2020’s clouded nuclear vision

Financial Times, John Dizard
Jan 03, 2020
US-China financial war is just beginning to take shape

Exchange Monitor, Dan Leone
Jan 03, 2020
NNSA Choice on Next-Gen Enrichment Tech Pushed Into 2020

POWER, Darrell Proctor (5)
Jan 02, 2020
U.S. Company Has Deal with Jordan for Nuclear Technology

Nuclear Engineering International (8)
Jan 02, 2020
Russia defers BN-1200 until after 2035

Reuters, Jacob Gronholt-Pedersen
Jan 02, 2020
Denmark sources record 47% of power from wind in 2019

Nuc Net, David Dalton (5)
Jan 02, 2020
Turkey / Construction Of Akkuyu-2 Scheduled To Begin In Q1 Of 2020, Says Russia

Physics Today, David Kramer (2)
Jan 01, 2020
Controversy continues to swirl around uranium enrichment contract

Politico, Eric Edelman & Franklin C. Miller
Dec 31, 2019
Russia Is Beefing Up Its Nuclear Arsenal. Here’s What the U.S. Needs to Do.

The Nonproliferation Policy Education Center (NPEC), is a 501 (c)3 nonpartisan, nonprofit, educational organization
founded in 1994 to promote a better understanding of strategic weapons proliferation issues. NPEC educates policymakers, journalists,
and university professors about proliferation threats and possible new policies and measures to meet them.
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