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Apr 08, 2013 |
Robert Zarate: The Non-Use and Abuse of Nuclear Proliferation Intelligence in the Cases of North Korea and Iran
One of the key assumptions shared by backers of military counter-proliferation is that with enough timely intelligence, the U.S. and its key allies can bomb, interdict, sabotage, and otherwise neutralize the nuclear weapons efforts of proliferating states. The presumption here is that it is the supply of intelligence, rather than the timely use and demand for it from policy makers and military planners, that is preventing more robust counter-proliferation activity.
At some level this certainly must be true. Yet, in the important current cases of Iran and North Korea, it is nowhere near as important as the demand problem. The attached NPEC-commissioned study by Robert Zarate, Policy Director of the Foreign Policy Initiative, "The Non-Use and Abuse of Nuclear Proliferation Intelligence: The Cases of North Korea and Iran," makes this case forcefully. His conclusion, after detailing what is known about how we have used the intelligence we had on these programs, is that if we are unwilling to act on the basis of early proliferation information when only modest actions are needed, it is a mistake to assume we will be more likely to act later when more heroic measures are required.
Working Papers
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Apr 05, 2013 |
National Review Online Posts NPEC Analysis, "Pyongyang Is Not Our Only Nuclear Worry"
Op-Eds & Blogs
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Feb 12, 2013 |
National Review Online Posts NPEC Analysis, "After North Korea's Test: Slow the Nuclear Dominos"
Op-Eds & Blogs
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Mar 26, 2012 |
NPR's Talk of the Nation interviews NPEC's executive director on the future of nuclear weapons.
Interviews; Audio & Video
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Mar 26, 2012 |
NPEC's executive director testifies before the U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission, "China's Nuclear Weapons and Fissile Materials Holdings: Uncertainties and Concerns."
Testimony & Transcripts
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Feb 28, 2012 |
The Conundrum of Close Calls: Lessons Learned for Securing Nuclear Weapons
A commentary by Reid Pauly and Scott Sagan shared at NPEC's meeting, "Securing Nuclear Arsenals for the Next Half Century: What Does History Recommend?"
Working Papers
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Feb 28, 2012 |
Peter Feaver: Nuclear Command and Control in Crisis: Old Lessons from New History
A commentary by Peter Feaver shared at NPEC's meeting, "Securing Nuclear Arsenals for the Next Half Century: What Does History Recommend?"
Working Papers
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Feb 28, 2012 |
Greg Giles: Securing Nuclear Arsenals in Times of Political Turmoil: Lessons Learned
A commentary by Greg Giles shared at NPEC's meeting, "Securing Nuclear Arsenals for the Next Half Century: What Does History Recommend?"
Working Papers
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Feb 27, 2012 |
Mark Stokes: Securing Nuclear Arsenals for the Next Half Century: A Chinese Case Study
A paper by Mark Stokes presented at NPEC's meeting, "Securing Nuclear Arsenals for the Next Half Century: What Does History Recommend?"
Working Papers
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Feb 03, 2012 |
Slide Presentation given at CSU on the Next Arms Race
NPEC executive Director, Henry Sokolski gave this presentation before a conference at Colorado State University in Fort Collins on February 3, 2012.
Presentations
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The Nonproliferation Policy Education Center (NPEC), is a 501 (c)3 nonpartisan, nonprofit,
educational organization
founded in 1994 to promote a better understanding of strategic weapons proliferation issues. NPEC educates
policymakers, journalists,
and university professors about proliferation threats and possible new policies and measures to meet them. |
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1601 North Kent Street | Suite 802 | Arlington, VA 22209 | phone: 571-970-3187 | webmaster@npolicy.org
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